Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 5.729124 6.322350 6.955189 7.681321 8.492467 9.371800 10.398724
2025-12-21 4.773997 5.590921 6.521266 7.662589 9.029632 10.620107 12.618950
2025-12-28 4.201227 5.175547 6.349046 7.874677 9.817494 12.224511 15.456654
2026-01-04 3.746758 4.821231 6.179625 8.037643 10.535533 13.809299 18.477219
2026-01-11 3.344102 4.468459 5.951101 8.071551 11.062567 15.185092 21.391610
2026-01-18 2.985724 4.123230 5.679717 7.995394 11.404915 16.322291 24.100931
2026-01-25 2.681046 3.812491 5.412608 7.879168 11.654674 17.330089 26.726769
2026-02-01 2.423990 3.539137 5.163963 7.750852 11.854105 18.262690 29.333984
2026-02-08 2.204125 3.296385 4.931821 7.614072 12.011057 19.127416 31.922018
2026-02-15 2.035096 3.113028 4.768958 7.562278 12.287315 20.200328 34.986744
2026-02-22 1.933963 3.024670 4.743149 7.723951 12.926427 21.942851 39.461449
2026-03-01 1.803796 2.877369 4.607500 7.684596 13.209042 23.086265 42.974877
2026-03-08 1.656918 2.693127 4.399359 7.507529 13.241495 23.806763 45.833648
2026-03-15 1.549030 2.565165 4.274600 7.464218 13.511592 24.999185 49.812994
2026-03-22 1.490323 2.516086 4.280571 7.656376 14.243039 27.163954 56.145082
2026-03-29 1.429815 2.458461 4.265672 7.806733 14.908404 29.278112 62.709263
2026-04-05 1.356819 2.372373 4.191547 7.835460 15.332167 30.946131 68.541565
2026-04-12 1.276092 2.265757 4.070450 7.759585 15.530840 32.158404 73.504897
2026-04-19 1.197681 2.157439 3.937219 7.645997 15.635845 33.175829 78.160316
2026-04-26 1.124673 2.053913 3.804880 7.521272 15.701830 34.110948 82.762198
2026-05-03 1.056834 1.955428 3.674703 7.388651 15.734997 34.972294 87.316445
2026-05-10 1.003545 1.881454 3.587246 7.338382 15.947804 36.282689 93.295844
2026-05-17 0.975900 1.856022 3.595072 7.494656 16.654243 38.880065 103.301492